Brazilian Corn: Safrinha Crop Projections Shrink as Prices Hit Record High Jul 9, 2021

🕔Jul 9, 2021
Projections for the safrinha corn (second crop) in Brazil were reduced as the drought continued in the main producing regions, and more recently frosts seen in South-Central. The most recent […]

Corn Seed: Historical Relationships Suggest Rising Costs for 2022 Jul 9, 2021

🕔Jul 9, 2021
Seed costs for corn have trended up over time. Genetic improvements and biotechnology use in hybrids have led to higher yields, contributing to the general increases in seed prices and […]

Soybeans: The (Absence of a) Weather Risk Premium in New-Crop Futures Prices Jun 28, 2021

🕔Jun 28, 2021
A recent farmdoc daily article considered whether new-crop corn futures price behavior in the pre-harvest period is consistent with the presence of a growing season weather risk premium. The basic idea […]

Projected 2020 Commodity Title Payments Jun 28, 2021

🕔Jun 28, 2021
Given increases in prices since the late summer of 2020, commodity title payments for the 2020 marketing year will be limited. Price Loss Coverage (PLC) payments are not projected for […]

Where Did All the Crop Acres Go? Declines in U.S. Plantings Since 2014 Jun 26, 2021

🕔Jun 26, 2021
A recent farmdoc daily article reported estimates of the total acreage base, or size of the “acreage pie,” for the U.S. over 1998-2020.  The total was relatively stable from 1998 through […]

Illinois: Exploring Characteristics of Higher Profit Farms – 2011 through 2020 Jun 22, 2021

🕔Jun 22, 2021
Data from the Illinois Farm Business Farm Management Association (FBFM) for 2011 through 2020 was used to analyze selected differences between the highest profit grain farms (high one-third) and the […]

Corn, Soybeans: Chances of Lower Harvest Revenues in 2021 Jun 18, 2021

🕔Jun 18, 2021
The harvest-time futures contracts for corn and soybeans continue to trade at levels well above those experienced since 2013.  In a recent article (farmdoc daily, May 11, 2021), we used the farmdoc Price […]

U.S. Grain Stocks-To-Use Ratios Have Declined Since 1960 Jun 17, 2021

🕔Jun 17, 2021
Stocks are an important market variable.  They reflect the balance between supply and demand.  High stocks generally mean low prices, and vice versa.  US policy toward stocks has changed over […]

Estimating Total Crop Acres in the U.S. Jun 14, 2021

🕔Jun 14, 2021
The March 31st Prospective Plantings report from the USDA continues to reverberate through the grain markets.  The report indicated that both corn and soybean planted acreage was much smaller than expected. […]

Corn Market: Weather Risk Premium in New-Crop Futures Prices Jun 11, 2021

🕔Jun 11, 2021
As spring planting nears completion in much of the corn belt, attention turns to the weather and its impact on crop yields and prices. Market analysts often speak of a […]

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