The 2021 season wasn’t without its difficulties throughout the year, but overall, the grain yield results have been very good. So good, in fact, that a new state average yield record is currently projected at 168.9 bu/acre (7600 lbs/acre). The previous record was set in 2013 and tied in 2014 with 168 bu/acre (7560 lbs/acre).
The downside has been below average milling yields and an increase in damaged grain. Let’s dive into potential causes of these milling and quality issues that are responsible for the problem to varying degrees. Remember we’re discussing head rice (whole kernel) and total milled rice, commonly referred to as Head Rice / Total Rice or HR/TR where a 55/70 is considered the standard.
This refers to 55% head rice and 70% total rice after milling. When you deliver rough rice, approximately 30% is lost in milling as the hull and bran layers are removed.
Extended periods of high nighttime temperatures during grain fill can lead to thinner kernels and less productive grain fill. Ultimately this can lower total rice directly – thinner kernels mean less total rice produced in the same volume. It can also indirectly lead to lower head rice (whole kernel) milling because thinner kernels are more prone to break in the milling process.
Looking at weather data throughout southeast and northeast Arkansas, there was a 7-day period at the end of June where nighttime temperatures were approximately 75 degrees or above, then a 10-day period in late July, and again in late August was another 7-day period.
Fig. 1 is provided as an example and uses Stuttgart weather data, but similar results were observed at weather stations throughout eastern Arkansas including the northeast.
Rice stink bug (RSB) pressure was more intense in 2021 compared to previous years, and additional measures were needed to bring them under control in some areas. However, other areas had relatively light pressure and still had milling issues. Ultimately, RSB damage can lower both head rice and total rice depending on when the damage occurs.
Feeding early in grain fill can reduce kernel size and cause malformation. Feeding later in grain fill can damage grain and make it more prone to break in milling.
One other note / reminder – all “peck” is damage, but not all damage is peck. On your grade sheet you see peck, but that’s not just RSB damage, it’s all damage from all possible causes. Beyond impact on milling yields, high damage can lead to loss of grade which will also reduce the value paid for the rice.
So just because your peck damage is high doesn’t even mean you had a stink bug problem responsible for the majority of damage, though some would certainly be from stink bug this year. See Figs. 2 and 3 for examples of RSB and other damage.
The largest overriding theme likely responsible for the majority of the issue has to do with prolonged and delayed crop maturity. The cold snap at Memorial Day that lasted for several days seemed to knock the crop off track by roughly a week. Then in August and September heavy dews and stagnant temperatures seemed to dramatically slow the grain maturation process.
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The crop not maturing – surely you remember fields refusing to fall to a moisture for harvest despite appearing ready for some time. This was a period of increased susceptibility to RSB damage, discoloration and stain from opportunistic fungi (fungicides ineffective on these).
Perhaps most prominently impacting head rice yields, the continual rewetting and drying of more mature kernels causes fissuring (cracks) that lead to breakage and reduced head rice (Fig. 4).
Let’s not forget an increase in ‘green’ kernels even when we did harvest. Green kernels are not mature and often instead of breaking, they are actually ground up in the milling process.
Given these problems, it’s important to fully understand the impact on rice profitability from lower milling yields and grade loss. Table 1 shows three different scenarios of milling and grade. Sample 1 is a standard 55/70 milling at Grade 1, meaning rice valued at $6/bu wouldn’t change. Sample 2 is a 52/69 milling that’s still Grade 1 and will result in a profit loss of $15-18 per acre compared to Sample 1.
Then Sample 3 is standard 55/70 milling but a Grade 3 and will result in a profit loss of $22-26 per acre profit. Grade loss from damage can be more substantial than slight milling yield reductions, but there is a point where milling yield price reductions become more severe (typically below 48% head rice).
Overall, head rice above or below a 55 is worth 2 cents per point in premium or deduction, and total rice above or below 70 is worth 3 cents per point in premium or deduction.
Table 1. Example of milling yield and grade effects on rice price and net profit.
|Description||Sample 1||Sample 2||Sample 3|
|Value at 168 bu/A||$1,008||$993||$986|
|Value at 200 bu/A||$1,200||$1,182||$1,174|
Considering that in 2020 milling yields were exceptional, it was certainly a shock to everyone to see milling yields consistently as low as we did in 2021. Most factors in play were environmental and out of our control. While some did experience good to above average milling yields, they weren’t very common.
At this time there are no situations that stand out indicating where we could have done things differently to at least improve the situation. We will continue to look for those possibilities that might help minimize the effects of this type of occurrence in the future.
Let us know if we can help.