Grains Mixed at Midday
Corn is 1 to 2 cents higher, soybeans are 6 to 7 cents lower, and wheat is flat to 4 cents higher.
The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 490 points. The dollar index is 30 points lower. Interest rate products are lower. Energies are firmer with crude $0.18 higher. Livestock trade is mixed. Precious metals are higher with gold up $9.
Corn trade is 1 to 2 cents higher at midday with trade bouncing back from the early test of support as harvest expands. The daily export wire had sales of 207,140 metric tons sold to unknown, and 110,800 metric tons to Japan. Ethanol margins are steady with unleaded holding near the upper end of the recent range. Basis should see pressure this week with more bushels coming in to town.
Weekly export inspections were ok at 806,327 metric tons, with weekly crop progress showing steady to slightly lower conditions with maturity and harvest ahead of average. On the December contract, trade has support at the $3.65 20-day moving average which are tested overnight then the $3.52 lower Bollinger band, with the recent high at $3.78 as resistance.
Soybean trade is 6 to 7 cents lower with trade seeing further harvest pressure and long liquidation ongoing to start the week, even as we saw further export sales of 218,300 metric tons to unknown. Meal is 7.50 to 8.50 lower and oil is 5 to 15 points higher. The ral remains in the lower end of the range ahead of South American planting with farmers waiting for seasonal rains while Argentine farmer selling remains slow, with Brazil heavily sold ahead. Export offers continue to get tighter in availability as well with meal driving the product complex while strain on domestic logistics will increase as shipping pace needs to rise with export inspections a little disappointing at 1.211 million metric tons.
Weekly crop progress should show steady to lower conditions with maturity and harvest ahead of normal. The November chart has resistance at the upper Bollinger Band at $10.46 3/4 which is also the fresh high with support the 20-day at $9.93 which we have tested this a.m.
Wheat trade is flat to 5 cents higher at midday with light buying emerging after early weakness. Export competiveness remains about the same with the focus remaining on Europe dryness along with US plains progress. KC is at a 68-cent discount to Chicago with spreads narrowing after the recent strength, while Minneapolis is back to a 18 cent discount with weaker action. Wheat drilling progress should expand across the plains short term with ok moisture for most for now but follow up rain lacking overall.
Weekly export inspections are expected were good at 563,427 metric tons, with planting progress nearing halfway with emergence a little better than average. KC December chart resistance is the fresh high at $5.09, and support is the 20-day at $4.78, which we are just above with the lower Bollinger band the next level at $4.61.