DTN Grain Open: Weaker as Trade Agreements Eyed

The Port of Rosedale - Rosedale, Mississippi - Mississippi River ©Debra L Ferguson Stock Photography

6:00 a.m. CME Globex: March corn is up 1/4 cent, January soybeans are down 1/2 cent, and March KC wheat is down 1 1/2 cents.

CME Globex Recap: Global equity markets are weaker overnight, particularly in Europe, with analysts pointing toward softer Chinese export data and the looming tariff deadline. Chinese exports fell 1.1% in November, the fourth consecutive monthly drop, with exports to the U.S. down 23%, the worst result since February and the twelfth consecutive monthly drop.

More salient to us seems to be comments suggesting the tariff deadline of December 15 will get moved further down the road, allowing more negotiation time. With the USMCA expected to be signed later Tuesday in Mexico City, deal making could be in the air.

Nothing trade related is giving grain markets much of a boost as bears continue to point to the fact the USMCA and any potential deal with China would more than likely just solidify demand we already had as opposed to creating additional demand. Harvest continues to drag out in the Northern Plains and will do so well into 2020. With the excessively wet soil conditions, it looks more than likely a difficult spring lies ahead for many.

OUTSIDE MARKETS: Previous closes on Monday showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 105.46 at 27,909.60 and the S&P 500 down 9.95 at 3,145.91 while the 10-Year Treasury yield ended at 1.829%. Early Tuesday, the December DJIA futures are down 114 points.

Asian markets are mixed with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 20.51 (-0.09%) and China’s Shanghai Composite up 2.84 points (0.1%). European markets are lower with London’s FTSE 100 down 83.6 points (-1.16%), Germany’s DAX down 181.48 points (-1.38%) and France’s CAC 40 down 35.68 points (-0.84%).

The December Euro is up 0.002 at 1.110 and the December U.S. dollar index is down 0.129 at 97.480. The March 30-Year T-Bond is up 16/32nds, while February gold is up $6.40 at $1,471.30 and January crude oil is down $0.31 at $58.71. Soybeans on China’s Dalian Exchange were up 0.2% while soybean meal was up 0.57%.

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