DTN Livestock Midday: Depressing Cattle Contracts, Strong Hogs

Tuesday strikes again with its usual nature of depressing cattle contracts and supporting the hog market.

General Comments

Tuesday has arrived with vigor and spunk for the lean hog contracts and could care less about what cattle contracts decide to do. As the day ticks on the gains seen in the lean hog sector just keep growing. December corn is up 3 1/2 cents per bushel and December soybean meal is up $1.60. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 21.04 points and NASDAQ is up 31.15 points.

LIVE CATTLE

Live cattle markets don’t have near the excitement that hog contracts do as Tuesday continues to bear its gloomy nature on cattle contracts. Live cattle contracts are trading lower — though none of the contracts are trading more than 50 cents lower. December live cattle are down $0.37 at $119.50, February live cattle are down $0.42 at $125.22 and April live cattle are down $0.20 at $126.75. Given that the whole second half of the day is still left to trade, a lot could happen, but it wouldn’t be unlikely to see contracts stay at these prices through closing.

Tyson announced Tuesday morning that their Holcomb, Kansas, plant should be up and running in the next 60 days. The company’s quarterly earnings of $369 million are down from $537 million which was last year’s earnings for this time.

For Wednesday’s Fed Cattle Exchange there are 1,393 head of cattle consigned to the sale with one pen from Texas, two pens from Kansas and four pens from Nebraska. Cash cattle have yet to trade this week though there are a few bids popping up in Nebraska at $181 for dressed cattle. Asking prices are around $118 plus in the South and $185 to $188 in the North.

Midday boxed beef prices are up: choice up $1.46 ($240.05) and select is up $3.12 at $216.81 with a movement of 55 loads (24.34 loads of choice, 11.06 loads of select, 5.07 loads of trim and 14.40 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE

Feeder cattle markets are mostly lower though in the later part of the deferred contracts there is some optimism. November feeder cattle are trading $0.02 lower at $147.55, January feeder cattle are trading $0.35 lower at $146.77 and March feeders are trading $0.27 lower at $146.42. Currently trading just two cents lower than Monday’s close, it would be considered a success if the feeder cattle market can at least close steady with Monday’s finishing mark.

LEAN HOGS

Rock-n-rollin’ on Tuesday morning lean hog contracts are rallying significantly on nearby contracts. December lean hogs are up $1.95 at $65.27, February lean hogs are up $1.75 at $75.50 and April lean hogs are up $1.12 at $81.77. The December contract is trading almost a $1.00 over the 40-day moving average of $64.43. Gains in the hams and bellies of pork products helped spark interest in the cutout values, though the prices aren’t probably around to stay as more consumers look towards turkeys in the next couple of weeks.

The projected lean hog index for 11/11/19 is down $0.50 at $58.94, and the actual index for 11/08/19 came in at $59.44, $0.85 lower. Hog prices are lower on the National Direct Morning Hog Report, down $0.12 with a weighted average of $42.47, ranging from $40.00 to $43.09 on 6,525 head and a five-day rolling average of $44.08.

Pork cutout totaled 189.09 loads with 170.95 loads of pork cuts and 18.14 loads of trim. Pork cutout values are up $2.73 at $89.07.

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