DTN Grain Open: Mixed to Weaker Ahead of WASDE

Trucks waiting in line at grain elevator. ©Debra L Ferguson Stock Images

6:00 a.m. CME Globex: December corn is unchanged, January soybeans are unchanged, and December K.C. wheat is down 1/2 cents.

CME Globex Recap: Mixed to lower equity markets overnight as investors plod toward the weekend. Trade war discussions remain the most pressing feature with markets excited about comments from China’s Ministry of Commerce about tariff rollbacks, only to be followed later in the day by comments from the White House that the rollback plan was facing “fierce internal opposition.”

From the outside looking in, the original plan most likely came from Secretary Mnuchin while the “fierce opposition” was undoubtedly spawned by Trade Representative Lighthizer and trade adviser Navarro. Trade hawks seem bent on the strategy of no concessions from the U.S., which isn’t likely to be palatable to the Chinese.

Grain markets are mixed to weaker overnight as traders mark the hours ahead of the November WASDE. Rarely does the November USDA report come with so much harvest left to complete across the Midwest, casting a larger-than-normal shadow over this month’s production estimates. The trade is looking for cuts to both the corn and soybean crop; a surprise would be small increases to both, as some private estimates have suggested.

OUTSIDE MARKETS: Previous closes on Thursday showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 182.24 at 27,674.80 and the S&P 500 up 8.40 at 3,076.78 while the 10-Year Treasury yield ended at 1.926%. Early Friday, December DJIA futures are down 7 points.

Asian markets are mixed with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 61.55 (0.26%) and China’s Shanghai Composite down 14.53 points (-0.49%). European markets are lower with London’s FTSE 100 down 20.48 points (-0.28%), Germany’s DAX down 27.13 points (-0.2%) and France’s CAC 40 down 13.15 points (-0.22%).

The December Euro is slightly lower at 1.110 and the December U.S. dollar index is up 0.046 at 98.035. The December 30-Year T-Bond is up 6/32nds, while December gold is up $0.90 at $1,467.30 and December crude oil is down $0.89 at $56.26. Soybeans on China’s Dalian Exchange were down -0.44% while soybean meal was up 0.27%.

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