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Closing Grains: from the Arkansas Farm Bureau Commodity Staff


Grain & Soybean

March 10, 2010

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(March) EAST AR:  888 to 928
(New Crop) Summ. 883 to 905
River Elevators:
(March) MISS: 905 to 960 ; AR & White 890 to 900
(NC) Summ. 881 to 915
Ark. Processor Bids: (March) 903 to 905  (NC) 890 to 893
Memphis:  (March) 963 to 968 (NC)  915 1/4 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (March) Stuttgart 905 ; Pendleton 898 ; West Memphis 951

 

Chicago Futures: May up 10 1/2 at  958
  July  up  9 1/2  at  965 1/2
  Sept up 8 3/4  at  947 1/4
  Nov up 7 3/4  at  935 1/4
  Jan up 7 1/2  at  943 3/4
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:
 

Soybean Comment
Soybeans firmed after USDA projected bigger exports and smaller ending stocks. 2009 U.S. production was reduced a mere 2 million bushels, but exports were raised 20 million bushels. When all the changes were included,projected ending stocks fell to 190 million bushels, just a 3 week supply. Normally that would be enough to push the market sharply higher, but bigger projections for South America will limit upside potential. November should test resistance near $9.50.

Wheat
Cash bid for March at Memphis  436 1/2 to 460 1/2;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 435-457;
River Elevators 446-480;

 
Chicago Futures: May down  at  481 1/2 
  July down 7 3/4  at  494 1/2 
  Sept down  7 1/4  at  511 
  Dec down  7 1/4  at  538 
  March 2011 down  7 3/4  at  562 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:
 

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for March at Memphis  649 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 491-566;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:
 

Corn
 

Cash bid for March at Memphis   361 1/2 to 365 1/2;
  New Crop at Memphis   365 1/2 to 367 1/2;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  331 to 361

 
Chicago Futures: May down  3 1/2  at  365 1/2 
  Sept down  3 1/4  at  385 1/2 
  Dec down  2 1/4  at  394 3/4 
  March 2011 down  at  405 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:
 

Grain Comment
Wheat was lower for the day, as USDA lowered the export projection instead of increasing it, as was expected. Ending stocks are projected above one billion bushels. July appears headed to or below the contract low of $4.83 and ¾.

 Corn was pressured by a smaller than expected adjustment, just 20 million bushels, in the ’09 production estimate. It was widely anticipated that it could be near 100 million bushels. In addition, USDA lowered the export projection by 100 million bushels, resulting in a higher ending stocks of 1.799 billion bushels. These bearish numbers will push May to the recent low of $3.59 and September to $3.76, or perhaps lower.