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COTTON
NEWS:
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Virginia Cotton:
March Cotton Update
By Johnny Parker, Agronomist
Commonwealth Gin, Windsor, Virginia
March 8, 2010 - First of all, this
will become a daily update
again by the end of the
month.
Currently, local farmers are
still in the planning mode
for figuring out the best
options for 2010
plantings. Cotton acreage
is growing significantly for
the first time since
grain prices took off in
2007. Now cotton (along
with cows) is finally
the most bullish option,
although other crops look ok
as well.
Here are several ideas to
think about:
-
Sign up for CRC crop
insurance by March
15 in Virginia.
This insurance
offers both yield
and price protection
and looks like a
good marketing plan
as well as
production insurance
at these prices.
Traditionally, we
could lock in
minimum price
contracts for price,
but with the high
premium cost for
options, you are
only protecting your
price in the mid to
low 60's. Compare
this to CRC
insurance which gets
you in the low 70's
for much less money.
-
The market is very
bullish and
expectations are
high but you never
know. Be sure and
set up a plan. As
the old crop price
outperforms
everybody's
expectation, the new
crop seems satisfied
that it will get
enough acreage
planted at current
levels
(assuming stable
grain prices). Once
the acreage is set,
which will no doubt
be an increase, then
the weather,
economic, and world
events take over.
Can go either way,
but expect a lot of
volatility.
-
Burndown could begin
by the end of the
month. The issues
that would suggest
early burndown
are if using 2,4-D
to kill Marestail
(Horseweed) or
primrose; the
label has a 30 day
waiting period.
Another issue is the
turfy conditions
caused by bluegrass
or other dense
rooted weeds that do
not break down
quickly, especially
on medium to heavy
soils. This is only
a minor concern on
course and sandy
soils. Otherwise,
burndown can wait
till a couple of
weeks pre-plant or
even closer if the
cover is sparse. On
sandy soils, blowing
conditions in the
spring in large
openings are a
bigger concern and
later burndown makes
sense to insure
there is a
protective cover
remaining after
planting.
Commonwealth Gin provides advice on production
and marketing of cotton. Information contained
herein is from sources believed to be reliable,
but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or
completeness. No responsibility is assumed with
respect to any statement, nor with respect to
any expression of opinion herein contained. All
views are the opinions of the author and no
statement should be construed as an offer to buy
or sell a commodity. This publication is for
information purposes only.
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