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USDA Crop Production: Winter Wheat Estimate Up from June; All Wheat Down from 2016

Ernst Undesser
From USDA July 12, 2017

USDA Crop Production: Winter Wheat Estimate Up from June; All Wheat Down from 2016

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the June 1 forecast but down 23 percent from 2016. Based on July 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 49.7 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from last month, but down 5.6 bushels from last year.

If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record for the United States, behind only 2016. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.8 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but down 15 percent from last year.

Hard Red Winter production, at 758 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 306 million bushels, is up 3 percent from the June forecast. White Winter, at 216 million bushels, is up 3 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 18.5 million bushels are Hard White and 198 million bushels are Soft White.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 57.5 million bushels, down 45 percent from 2016. The United States yield is forecast at 30.9 bushels per acre, down 13.1 bushels from last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 1.86 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but 21 percent below 2016.

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 423 million bushels, down 21 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 10.5 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but down 7 percent from last year. The United States yield is forecast at 40.3 bushels per acre, down 6.9 bushels from last year. Of the total production, 385 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 22 percent from last year.

Full report.

Ernst Undesser
From USDA July 12, 2017