Agfax Buzz:
    October 12, 2013
    rice-head-backlit-feature-08042013.jpb

    Midsouth And Texas Rice Sales Stall

    AgFax.Com - Your Online Ag News Source

    From US Rice Producers Association's Rice Advocate

    Occasional showers and cooler temperatures continue to slow the harvest in the Delta/Arkansas region this week. We believe that harvesting is 67-70% done. Most growers are pleased with average or better yields and good quality.

    Barge trade remains sporadic, mainly because growers are asking $6.90-$7.25 per bu ($15.30-$16.10 per cwt) and buyers are attempting to bid at $0.70 under the Nov futures for nearby rice, and up to $1.70 under the Jan or Mar for deferred positions.

    The gap between the numbers starting with a 13 and those beginning with a 16 is too wide to bridge at the moment. In all of the long grain area, we believe that between 30% and 65% of the new harvest has already been contracted, which radically diminishes the incentive to move cash rice today — from both sides.

    Sales of rough rice in Texas nearly stopped, as the single buyer dropped their bid to $9.50 (conventional) and $9.00 over loan (hybrids). There was one sale this week, with zero confirmations. We continue to believe that it will take $10.00 over loan to begin the next cycle of sales.

    South Louisiana continues to see quiet bidding at $25.00 per bbl FOB farm, although the mills are out to Jan/Feb for shipment. Second crop harvest should begin within two weeks in Louisiana and three weeks in Texas, and weather permitting be largely finished by the middle of November.

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